Originally Posted by cxfan1960

No, I won't assume so. No redemption, including upgrade, was available around 12/9-1/2 several years ago, although there were no official black out dates. The only chance was instant upgrade. However, things might have changed now, and you are only flying JFK-YVR. I think there is some chance but I would not plan for it. If CX is releasing seats, they may likely do that around mid-December.

I just checked. Loading for PEY, J and F seems light at this moment for CX889, but Y is quite full. However, I do expect CX to oversell Y and PEY causing J and F to eventually be quite full.