Originally Posted by
orbs89
I'm currently waitlisted along with a friend for CX889 (JFK-YVR) on 12/23 returning CX888 on 12/26. I'm waitlisted for J, my friend for F. We are booked via SPG in the Westin Whistler and need to cancel by 11/18. Cathay.com is showing 30+ seat available on both legs in J, is it safe to assume that the tickets will clear? I risk losing $1,100 if I don't show up for the SPG reservation. Any advice regarding this dilemma?
No, I won't assume so. No redemption, including upgrade, was available around 12/9-1/2 several years ago, although there were no official black out dates. The only chance was instant upgrade. However, things might have changed now, and you are only flying JFK-YVR. I think there is some chance but I would not plan for it. If CX is releasing seats, they may likely do that around mid-December.
I just checked. Loading for PEY, J and F seems light at this moment for CX889, but Y is quite full. However, I do expect CX to oversell Y and PEY causing J and F to eventually be quite full.