There are 27 A350s to come in the next 4 years. How many slots can CX get in that period? 4 maybe (say 2 Europe, 2 NA). How many long haul planes do they have? About 70. 30% of 70 is 21. 27 to come, 21 to go and 4 new routes. Rough and ready calculation but seems reasonable to me.

Just what constitutes the ones which are going? To muddy the waters I suspect that some will be A330s ex Oz. Its already been said 5 leased ones to go. Also some 330s in KA all true antiques (LKJ and HLK will be 25 this year!) Then I guess that initially A35Ks may replace some 77Gs. AMS, MAD, YVR, for example. ZUR and SFO might go A35K. Then I also suspect that SYD and MEL may switch. Remember that these rotate in less than 24 hours. Not long on the ground. High utilization. Plenty of fuel saving and an attractive beastie for a competitive route. Then maybe 77Gs replace some more 77Hs. From what I have read the only places where F will remain for sure are NYC, LHR and LAX. After that we will be lucky to keep them for FRA, CDG, and ??? in NA. And I forgot, 5 772s. So disposal of old craft spread around the fleet.