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Old May 16, 2015 | 12:46 pm
  #2007  
eternaltransit
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Originally Posted by Xlr
US3 have released a new study regarding the economic impact of ME3 on US3.

http://www.openandfairskies.com/wp-c...-Traffic-1.pdf

Edit: Much like any regression analysis, you can change the dependent variables to change the correlation factor. I mean, "Number of Gulf Carriers Present"? Looks quite sophomoric to me, to be honest. I would have used the number of seats instead. If they release the dataset, I would probably be able to conclude the exact opposite.

Once again:
The US has no national interest in protecting the alliance or JV partners of the US3.
Don't forget the thing that most jumps out at you which is that it starts from the position that the ME3 are all subsidised a priori. I don't think it's necessary to point out the fact that the issue of whether EK (at least) is receiving secret cash injections is still up for debate!

The conclusion of the report is that with the introduction of ME3 service to the US, US carriers are seeing their bookings drop. End of story - YMMV whether you think this is a bona-fide, sincere attempt at trying to fight for US national interests.

It's almost as if the argument put forward by the US3 is that every carrier has a natural right to certain amounts of traffic, passenger preferences be damned. It's not as if passengers care about in-flight services, network connectivity, fleet age, staff age (base as it may be), or all of that. No, none of those things could ever be a factor in why new competitors make people change to them...! As for the allegation of dumping, aka predatory pricing....we don't need to go over that again, do we?

All sides are able to find a kernel of truth and get a consultant to provide opinions-for-hire to peddle the various lines for the PR battle - EK has done this with their "aviation supports x amount of jobs in the EU and US of course that gets wheeled out - but the simple matter is, on the basis of independent available data, not opinion pieces or intentionally skewed snapshots of information taken out of context, the fraud argument just doesn't stack up.

Last edited by eternaltransit; May 16, 2015 at 12:52 pm
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