I think you slightly misunderstood my point. What I meant in my post was "Although this flyer loses lounge access, he's only using it a few times a year anyway so he might think bonus RDMs is a better deal." Clearly, as you say, a lot of low-tier flyers can still lead to a lot of lounge usage even if any individual low-tier flyer isn't in the lounge often.

It would be long-term bad for all of us for CX or other oneworld carriers to go down the road of slicing and dicing lounge eligibility. It's a recipe for confusion (both pax and dragons) and diluted benefits.

What's more likely to happen is that as they upgrade the Pier (one day, we hope) and the new lounge by Gate 36 opens, pax will go back to spreading themselves out among all of the available lounges based more on convenience. The real problem right now is that the quality gap between the Wing and the others is so wide that people seem to flock toward the Wing.