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Old Jun 15, 2012 | 8:44 am
  #42  
sxf24
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: SEA
Posts: 12,485
Originally Posted by channa
Actually, 100 segments a year x 40 years = 4,000 segments.

With 4,000 plays and 1:10,000 odds, odds are it won't happen to you (40% chance).
With 4,000 plays and 2:10,000 ddds, odds are it will happen to you (80% chance).
Yes, an 80% chance you will be involuntary denied boarding over a 40 year time period, assuming the IDB rates never change.

If you look at it on an annual basis, your odds on an IDB are small under either scenario.
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