Originally Posted by
sbm12
Whether I've got a 1:10,000 or 2:10,000 chance of an IDB the odds still say that it is never going to happen to me, even if I fly 100 segments a year over 40 years, right?
Actually, 100 segments a year x 40 years = 4,000 segments.
With 4,000 plays and 1:10,000 odds, odds are it won't happen to you (40% chance).
With 4,000 plays and 2:10,000 ddds, odds are it
will happen to you (80% chance).