I'm flying 99 on the 11th, still on the waitlist, getting crazy, why? Because 9 to Tokyo is available. What to do? Is it worth $250 to fly over the Pacific in BF and then wait 3.5 hours and then sit in Y for the NRT-HKG portion? I think so! I fly that route about 4 times a year. What I have found happening lately is no one getting upgraded no matter how empty until 3 days before the flight. Then, exactly like clockwork, 10-20 pax will get upgraded depending on availability. This week is also different because of Toy Fair.