ffhound:

It seems that these offers are made to "introduce" people to an alliance. Star Alliance did this relatively near their inception and I believe the current oneworld bonus is the first one offered by them. Therefore, I think it is more likely that the new potential alliances will offer bonuses for flying many or all of their members rather than the "old" alliances doing it again unless of course to match them. For example, Wings with KL, NW, CO, AL, Malaysian?, HP?, VS? and Alaskan?. Or "Nameless Alliance" with DL, AF, AM, South African???, SQ???super high hope and BD???. Of course some of the members listed above are pure speculation or just high hopes on my part, but I hope you get the jist.

However, with all that said, I know 100,000 odd miles would be a lot better for you in the Star or oneworld since they're probably going to be the only alliances that have members down in your neck of the woods - Ansett, Air NZ and Qantas.