Originally Posted by
supergrandslam
I am a newbie as EXP based on LGA/JFK. I would like to know how to estimate chance of upgrade for domestic 2 class flight. EF looks not so helpful because they does not show any "X" inventory until 24hrs of departure....
Originally Posted by
demkr
Depends what the route is--if there's a large # of seats in F and you booked early, your chances are almost 100% that you would clear at the 100 hour mark, especially for 2-class.
Also, look at the exit rows on the seat map. If those seats are wide open a couple of weeks before your flight, there are few elites on the flight and the odds of an upgrade are very good, even for non-EXPs. As noted, upgrade odds also vary by route. A few days ago, I booked LAX-OGG for this week and not a single exit row seat was occupied. Needless to say, the upgrades cleared at 100 hours.