FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - How long before the Peso collapses (again)
Old Jan 13, 2009, 4:21 am
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biggestbopper
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Join Date: Jan 2006
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How long before the Peso collapses (again)

On recent trip to Argentina I was surprised at how expensive it was, contrary to what I had heard and read. While there are some deals (subway less than a peso) it was really quite costly for a somewhat developed country.

Apparently, inflation is running at around 25-30% a year at least and this has cut away Argintina's big price advantage from after the last devaluation what with the exchange rate changing much more slowly than the price level.

I expect a tourist crash in B.A. once the pricing issue gets more publicity and erodes Argentina's rep as a bargain.

Along with the big drop in commodities prices (Argentina's big exports) I suspect this means a big time devaluation of the peso soon.

What do you think?
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