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Planning to go to MNL in Jan. 2006...too early to purchase tix?

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Planning to go to MNL in Jan. 2006...too early to purchase tix?

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Old May 6, 2005, 10:46 am
  #1  
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Planning to go to MNL in Jan. 2006...too early to purchase tix?

Tickets are currently around $1750r/t for this flight (DSM to MNL). Would I be best off buying them now or gambling that they may go down before I depart in January 2006?

Thanks.
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Old May 6, 2005, 11:29 am
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I think that's way too high. Typically, fares from the West Coast to MNL are around $800 off-peak and $1000 peak. In fact for around the fare you are looking at ($1750), you could get a business class seat on PR for a few hundred more. It's best to get your ticket from an Asian specialist in the West Coast or Chicago and book the flight from DSM to those gateway cities separately.
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Old May 6, 2005, 11:32 am
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If you were looking for a free (award) ticket (you don't indicate that however) .. I would say you are three months LATE in booking!
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Old May 6, 2005, 11:49 am
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Originally Posted by JGR01
If you were looking for a free (award) ticket (you don't indicate that however) .. I would say you are three months LATE in booking!
I had looked into an award ticket (if that is the same as a frequent flier miles ticket) and there were still availabilties in Oct. 2005 - March 2006 but I'm shy about 50k miles for the Jan. tickets.
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Old May 6, 2005, 11:50 am
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Originally Posted by bp888
I think that's way too high. Typically, fares from the West Coast to MNL are around $800 off-peak and $1000 peak. In fact for around the fare you are looking at ($1750), you could get a business class seat on PR for a few hundred more. It's best to get your ticket from an Asian specialist in the West Coast or Chicago and book the flight from DSM to those gateway cities separately.
What do you think accounts for the fare being so high right now? Fuel costs?
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Old May 6, 2005, 1:24 pm
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January is considered a peak-season month, which may account for the premium airfares:
- End of Christmas season
- Chinese New Year
- respite from the typhoon season, so relatively dry
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Old May 7, 2005, 3:07 am
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Originally Posted by rnmcd
What do you think accounts for the fare being so high right now? Fuel costs?
It could be that it's a full fare ticket price they're offering at the moment because it's hard to predict demand that far out so they're hedging their bets that a few people like to plan that far in advance and need to know they have a ticket. Once the time gets closer and load management tools kick in at the airlines, they'll start offering discounted fares. It would be worth your while setting up a fare watcher, but I'm willing to bet it's the other side of summer before you start seeing decent fares...
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Old May 7, 2005, 9:58 am
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Originally Posted by bp888
I think that's way too high. Typically, fares from the West Coast to MNL are around $800 off-peak and $1000 peak. In fact for around the fare you are looking at ($1750), you could get a business class seat on PR for a few hundred more. It's best to get your ticket from an Asian specialist in the West Coast or Chicago and book the flight from DSM to those gateway cities separately.
Rnmcd, make sure you consider bp888 suggestions. I think about $800-ish is much more like it. For $1750 business, seats might not be that more expensive with PR and even NW.
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Old May 7, 2005, 6:42 pm
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Originally Posted by bp888
It's best to get your ticket from an Asian specialist in the West Coast or Chicago and book the flight from DSM to those gateway cities separately.
Just to clarify, you mean that I should get r/t tickets from DSM to a West Coast city then get other r/t tickets from that West Coast city to Manila?

Also, how does anyone recommend I find a source for a reputable Asian ticketing specialist?

Thank you.
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Old May 7, 2005, 6:44 pm
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Originally Posted by USA_flyer
It would be worth your while setting up a fare watcher, but I'm willing to bet it's the other side of summer before you start seeing decent fares...

Which fare watchers are recommended?
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Old May 7, 2005, 7:36 pm
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Old May 7, 2005, 11:36 pm
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I travel to Asia a lot, and MNL can be a tough nut to crack on both paid and awards. Too many immigrants wanting to travel and too few seats. Sometimes your ace on awards is CO through either GUM or SPN (possibly on an NW routing through NRT first, if not the more conventional HNL-GUM CO routing).

A split-ticket strategy with HKG as the break point might also work. HKG has more capacity and relatively less demand, plus lots of cheap flights to MNL. If you're traveling light or have some extra time, KUL might also be a gateway, as Air Asia is going to fly KUL-Clark.

Otherwise BP is right and the specialist travel agents can usually get sub-$1,000 out of LAX, SFO or HNL or close to $1,000 out of CHI, probably on someone like EVA or KE or CI.
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Old May 9, 2005, 9:25 am
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Originally Posted by RustyC
I travel to Asia a lot, and MNL can be a tough nut to crack on both paid and awards. Too many immigrants wanting to travel and too few seats. Sometimes your ace on awards is CO through either GUM or SPN (possibly on an NW routing through NRT first, if not the more conventional HNL-GUM CO routing).

A split-ticket strategy with HKG as the break point might also work. HKG has more capacity and relatively less demand, plus lots of cheap flights to MNL. If you're traveling light or have some extra time, KUL might also be a gateway, as Air Asia is going to fly KUL-Clark.

Otherwise BP is right and the specialist travel agents can usually get sub-$1,000 out of LAX, SFO or HNL or close to $1,000 out of CHI, probably on someone like EVA or KE or CI.
What does CO stand for?
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Old May 9, 2005, 9:35 am
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Originally Posted by Scandalous
http://www.angeltravel.com/ is one popular on-line travel agent that should be able to get good prices.
That site, if I'm using it correctly has fares from DSM to MNL for ~$1100 -- which is much better than I was finding elsewhere.

But the odd thing about it is that the site didn't have fares for Jan.1 - Jan. 11 departures for United Airlines.hmmmmmmm
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Old May 9, 2005, 10:27 am
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Originally Posted by rnmcd
What does CO stand for?
It's the 2 letter identifier for Continental airlines.
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