Would planes be safer without humans in the cockpit?
#16
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 164
You can look up statistics on how often pilot error causes an airplane crash. It doesn't happen a lot when you consider how many thousands of flights there are a day, but it happens.
You can't look up statistics on how often pilot intervention keeps an airplane from crashing when systems fail or malfunction because the pilots land those flights safely. This happens every day. Probably dozens of times a day, if not more.
I probably encounter weather conditions or mechanical situations that the autopilot/automated systems can't handle once or twice a month. Only once that I can recall were the passengers aware that something malfunctioned because the situation required a diversion and emergency landing. I've had several times where the autopilot system just goes offline because it can't handle the situation (generally turbulence/weather related) or because it's malfunctioning. If you fly a lot, and most FlyerTalkers do, then you've almost certainly been on a flight where some system malfunctioned and the pilots took over from the automation.
Pilots are not worried about our jobs being replaced by computers.
You can't look up statistics on how often pilot intervention keeps an airplane from crashing when systems fail or malfunction because the pilots land those flights safely. This happens every day. Probably dozens of times a day, if not more.
I probably encounter weather conditions or mechanical situations that the autopilot/automated systems can't handle once or twice a month. Only once that I can recall were the passengers aware that something malfunctioned because the situation required a diversion and emergency landing. I've had several times where the autopilot system just goes offline because it can't handle the situation (generally turbulence/weather related) or because it's malfunctioning. If you fly a lot, and most FlyerTalkers do, then you've almost certainly been on a flight where some system malfunctioned and the pilots took over from the automation.
Pilots are not worried about our jobs being replaced by computers.
#17
Join Date: Jan 2003
Posts: 3,785
Ever seen any of these movies?
War Games
Tron
I, Robot
Resident Evil
Superman III
Robocop
Terminator
Matrix
2001: A Space Odyssey
Heh, but seriously, even if the computer has full control over everything, there is no way there isn't some kind of override on board a plane and a person there to do the override.
War Games
Tron
I, Robot
Resident Evil
Superman III
Robocop
Terminator
Matrix
2001: A Space Odyssey
Heh, but seriously, even if the computer has full control over everything, there is no way there isn't some kind of override on board a plane and a person there to do the override.
#21
Join Date: Feb 2013
Location: Somewhere In The Five Eyes
Posts: 230
No. Not safer.
1. Spoofing GPS is easy, peasy. College students demo'd it. Then Iran used the technique to steal our RQ-170 Sentinel drone. It thought it was landing it home plate. But it wasn't.
2. Read the book QF32. Ain't no computer in the world that could've cope'd with that (cough) simple engine failure.
3. The vaunted Airbus automation may have contributed to Sully's Hudson River ditching. How so? The FADECs (engine control computers) were b....ing about engine problems and declining to let him further harm the engines. If he had the option of using (trashing) those engines for another 15-20 secs, he may have made it to TEB.
4. Enjoy:
http://www.realitydistortionfield.com/GoWrong.wav
1. Spoofing GPS is easy, peasy. College students demo'd it. Then Iran used the technique to steal our RQ-170 Sentinel drone. It thought it was landing it home plate. But it wasn't.
2. Read the book QF32. Ain't no computer in the world that could've cope'd with that (cough) simple engine failure.
3. The vaunted Airbus automation may have contributed to Sully's Hudson River ditching. How so? The FADECs (engine control computers) were b....ing about engine problems and declining to let him further harm the engines. If he had the option of using (trashing) those engines for another 15-20 secs, he may have made it to TEB.
4. Enjoy:
http://www.realitydistortionfield.com/GoWrong.wav
#22
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: May 2006
Location: SEA or BGR, Lower Earth Orbit
Programs: UA 1K
Posts: 17,217
If you notice that software updates are released fairly regularly for mobile phones, computers, general software, and sometimes that software update breaks things in an effort to fix things. I can't even get Siri or Google Now to understand me 100% of the time. I would not want to be on a plane that has had a software update done that a new error is discovered on. The risk of a remote hijacking is even more real.
There is no replacement, yet, for human intuition.
There is no replacement, yet, for human intuition.
#23
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: Manchester, United Kingdom
Programs: Hilton Gold, Priority Club Blue, SPG Gold, Sofitel Gold, FB Ivory, BA Blue
Posts: 8,479
I think we are very close, technologically, to being in a place where computers, backed up by humans on the ground, are more reliable than humans in the cockpit.
#24
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: May 2006
Location: SEA or BGR, Lower Earth Orbit
Programs: UA 1K
Posts: 17,217
The latency that would be encountered may be too much to deal with. 1/2 second may be the difference between a safe outcome and a crash.
#25
Join Date: Apr 2006
Posts: 164
The latency that would be encountered may be too much to deal with. 1/2 second may be the difference between a safe outcome and a crash.
#26
Suspended
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Watchlisted by the prejudiced, en route to purgatory
Programs: Just Say No to Fleecing and Blacklisting
Posts: 102,095
Also, adding too many cooks to a kitchen may not generally equate with consistency of output and a lack of other operational problems/risks.
I'm certainly a technophile, but I don't adopt the mantra that any and all technology is inherently a great solution to the needs of the time. Automation is not perfect, and the results of automation aren't always just what we think they are or will be.
#27
Original Member
Join Date: May 1998
Location: NYC
Programs: AA 2MM, Bonvoy LTT, Hilton Diamond
Posts: 14,638
No. Not safer.
1. Spoofing GPS is easy, peasy. College students demo'd it. Then Iran used the technique to steal our RQ-170 Sentinel drone. It thought it was landing it home plate. But it wasn't.
2. Read the book QF32. Ain't no computer in the world that could've cope'd with that (cough) simple engine failure.
3. The vaunted Airbus automation may have contributed to Sully's Hudson River ditching. How so? The FADECs (engine control computers) were b....ing about engine problems and declining to let him further harm the engines. If he had the option of using (trashing) those engines for another 15-20 secs, he may have made it to TEB.
4. Enjoy:
http://www.realitydistortionfield.com/GoWrong.wav
1. Spoofing GPS is easy, peasy. College students demo'd it. Then Iran used the technique to steal our RQ-170 Sentinel drone. It thought it was landing it home plate. But it wasn't.
2. Read the book QF32. Ain't no computer in the world that could've cope'd with that (cough) simple engine failure.
3. The vaunted Airbus automation may have contributed to Sully's Hudson River ditching. How so? The FADECs (engine control computers) were b....ing about engine problems and declining to let him further harm the engines. If he had the option of using (trashing) those engines for another 15-20 secs, he may have made it to TEB.
4. Enjoy:
http://www.realitydistortionfield.com/GoWrong.wav
#28
Join Date: Sep 2013
Location: Paradise
Posts: 1,617
#29
Join Date: Oct 2010
Programs: My opinions are my own and not that of my employer(s)
Posts: 1,411
Ask yourself one question: How would automation have handled US Airways flight 1549 that ditched in the Hudson?
Would automation attempt to return to the airport?
Would automation be smart enough to realize the potential landing
area of the Hudson?
Pilots are not redundant... yet.
Would automation attempt to return to the airport?
Would automation be smart enough to realize the potential landing
area of the Hudson?
Pilots are not redundant... yet.
#30
Join Date: Oct 2010
Programs: My opinions are my own and not that of my employer(s)
Posts: 1,411
Ask yourself one question: How would automation have handled US Airways flight 1549 that ditched in the Hudson?
Would automation attempt to return to the airport?
Would automation be smart enough to realize the potential landing
area of the Hudson?
Pilots are not redundant... yet.
Would automation attempt to return to the airport?
Would automation be smart enough to realize the potential landing
area of the Hudson?
Pilots are not redundant... yet.
It was obviously a long shot and safety chose the Hudson.
We're coming very close to real time flying without human pilots like it or not.