Patterns & predictions for DEQM / double EQM in 2013 (consolidated)
#16
In Memoriam
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: dallas texas usa
Programs: aa plt 4.9MM LTAC
Posts: 14,828
chances are 50-50.....they will either have 2x's or not....
#17
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: SJC
Programs: AA EXP, BA Silver, Hyatt Globalist, Hilton diamond, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 33,533
This is not even close to true. This implies that there is an even chance of having it or not. Without further information, it is impossible to make a prediction like this. Something with a binary choice (will or won't happen) doesn't have a 50-50 chance. Consider the lottery - either I will or won't win it....but the chance of winning is hardly 50-50
Cheers.
Cheers.
#18
Join Date: Jan 2011
Location: DFW...at the moment
Programs: AA EXP, SPG Plat, Hyatt Diamond, HH gold
Posts: 609
#19
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: SJC
Programs: AA EXP, BA Silver, Hyatt Globalist, Hilton diamond, Marriott Platinum
Posts: 33,533
Cheers.
#20
Original Member
Join Date: May 1998
Location: Fort Lauderdale
Programs: AA-EXP (15yrs) 3+MM , exDLPlt, exCOPlt, Cruiseaholic (250+)
Posts: 335
DEQM for 2013?
Based upon recent flights, I am seeing a lot more empty seats than previously. If the economy keeps sputtering, I'd bet on it. The cruise lines are starting to discount massively (balconies for under $50 a day) and I think the airlines will be following suit.
#21
Suspended
Join Date: Sep 2006
Programs: AAdvantage PP
Posts: 13,913
Possibly, as part of an exit from bankruptcy/rebranding there might be another month of DEQM freebies as a good will gesture to elites. Of course, if the bankruptcy leads into a USAir merger (which is looking more likely today than a few weeks back) then all bets are off. IIRC neither DL/NW or UA/CO did anything promotions when those airlines combined.
#22
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: ORD
Programs: AA PLT, UA Silver, EK Gold, Hilton Diamond, Global Entry, Clear
Posts: 1,082
#23
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: MSY (finally); previously NYC, BOS, AUH
Programs: AA EXP, 6MM; BA GLD
Posts: 17,248
Anyone remember when we would turn to FlyerTalk for real information?
Me neither.
Me neither.
#24
Suspended
Join Date: Sep 2006
Programs: AAdvantage PP
Posts: 13,913
There is no real evidence that any airline is seeing a sizable drop in load factors. Load factors remain near all time highs. I would tend to think that airlines (including) would park a/c in the desert before going on a DEQM binge like we saw in 2009.
#26
Original Member
Join Date: May 1998
Location: Fort Lauderdale
Programs: AA-EXP (15yrs) 3+MM , exDLPlt, exCOPlt, Cruiseaholic (250+)
Posts: 335
Up until a few weeks ago, I would have agreed with you, but this is just in the last few weeks. Also, you are in a hub, and I fly out of FLL. Had 6 empty F/C out of DFW-YVR a few days ago. About 25 (F/Y) empty on the FLL-DFW segment.
#27
FlyerTalk Evangelist
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: STL
Programs: AA 2MM, AS MVP Gold, Hilton Diamond
Posts: 12,966
Before you drift to sleep upon your cot,
Think back on all the tales that you remember
Of FlyerTalk.
Ask ev'ry person if he's heard the story,
And tell it strong and clear if he has not,
That once there was a fleeting wisp of knowledge
Called FlyerTalk.
Yes, FlyerTalk, my boy!
Where bad info wasn't posted until sundown,
By eight a.m. the bovine poop had flown...
Don't let it be forgot
That once there was a spot
For one brief shining moment that was known
As FlyerTalk.
#28
Moderator: American AAdvantage
Join Date: May 2000
Location: NorCal - SMF area
Programs: AA LT Plat; HH LT Diamond, Maître-plongeur des Muccis
Posts: 62,948
But just perhaps... the "Speculation:" in the title means something, so those who prefer not to speculate or read speculative threads can move on without having to read them. Or is this what they mean by "reminiscence therapy"?
#29
Join Date: Aug 2012
Location: MIA
Programs: AA EXP, TSA Pre, Marriott Platinum; SPG Gold
Posts: 21
Do you know something about 2016 ? I am thinking about qualifying for the Olympics that year and plan on doing a lot of flying. Probably in the 100 Meters if anyone is wondering, though I may look at swimming.
#30
Join Date: Mar 2008
Location: ORD
Posts: 654
How many business travelers take cruise ships to their destination?
Last edited by JNB280; Sep 4, 2012 at 12:51 pm