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Travel Waiver - Super Typhoon Mawar 22 May-15 June ‘23 GUM, Island Hopper, ROR, ...

Travel Waiver - Super Typhoon Mawar 22 May-15 June ‘23 GUM, Island Hopper, ROR, ...

Old May 21, 2023, 4:20 pm
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Travel Waiver - Super Typhoon Mawar 22 May-15 June ‘23 GUM, Island Hopper, ROR, ...

https://www.united.com/en/us/fly/tra...el-alerts.html

Valid May 22-24
covers Guam, Saipan, as well as some islands on the Hopper
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Old May 21, 2023, 7:33 pm
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Travel Waiver/Alert: Tropical Storm Mawar (May 22, 2023 - May 24, 2023)

Airports affected:
  • Guam, GU, US (GUM)
  • Kosrae, FM (KSA)
  • Kwajalein, MH (KWA)
  • Majuro, MH (MAJ)
  • Pohnpei, FM (PNI)
  • Saipan, MP, US (SPN)
  • Chuuk, FM (TKK)​

    Original ticket must have been purchased by: May 20, 2023

    Flight options:
    If you’re scheduled to fly to or from one of the airports affected, here are your options:
    • You can reschedule your trip and we’ll waive change fees and fare differences. But, your new flight must be a United flight departing between May 20, 2023 and May 30, 2023. Tickets must be in the same cabin and between the same cities as originally booked.
    Waiver (posted): https://www.united.com/en/us/fly/tra...el-alerts.html

    Jetstream Waiver (posted): https://jetstream.united.com/#/all-travel-waiver

    David
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    Old May 21, 2023, 7:37 pm
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    Note that the waiver/alert covers all of stops of the Island Hopper.

    David
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    Old May 21, 2023, 9:01 pm
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    I could see this waiver being extended by a good long while. This system is starting to intensify quickly, with an eye appearing on satellite imagery. Some models have this as a category 3 hurricane equivalent as it moves likely over Rota, but the southern eyewall could hit Guam

    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/...2W&product=vis
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    Old May 21, 2023, 9:17 pm
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    FWIW, JTWC's current prediction of Mawar's path:
    ​​​​​​​David
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    Old May 22, 2023, 3:43 am
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    Old May 22, 2023, 8:47 am
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    How long was GUM closed after Typhoon Paka back in 1997?

    Trying to determine if I need to make alternate vacation plans for July
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    Old May 22, 2023, 5:40 pm
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    As a Saipan resident then, I never heard of GUM being shut down for a month, which would have been major news in the Marianas tourism economy.

    A greater risk is another typhoon. It is the season, after all.

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    Old May 22, 2023, 5:47 pm
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    Originally Posted by Unitedloyalflyer
    How long was GUM closed after Typhoon Paka back in 1997?

    Trying to determine if I need to make alternate vacation plans for July
    You will be fine in July. I missed Paka, but after Pongsona in 2002, many palm trees stripped of their crowns and some of the caves on the cliffs over Agana beach were visible as the jungle overgrowth was stripped off the hillsides. Most of the structures there are built like bunkers. They are better equipped there than most mainland places.
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    Old May 22, 2023, 6:01 pm
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    Originally Posted by bloodyeyeballs
    You will be fine in July. I missed Paka, but after Pongsona in 2002, many palm trees stripped of their crowns and some of the caves on the cliffs over Agana beach were visible as the jungle overgrowth was stripped off the hillsides. Most of the structures there are built like bunkers. They are better equipped there than most mainland places.
    Pongsona went just north of Guam, though it may have been a touch stronger than this one is expected to be.

    I've already plopped down about 11K on this so far. Hotel can be cancelled up to a day before arrival. The UA flight, well, that would be an ETC most likely

    I'm hoping the trends from today continue tomorrow, and this goes a good 40-50 miles south of the island

    SPN Lifer I knew the risk I was taking given this is an el nino year. It's why I am going in July, not November as I was initially thinking (me personally, as a tropical meteorologist, I'd love to be in a typhoon. My wife, however, would probably leave me on the island)
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    Old May 22, 2023, 11:46 pm
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    Mawar's path now predicted to cross GUM:



    Note: 125 kts = 144 mph. Category 4.

    David
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    Old May 23, 2023, 12:00 am
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    Originally Posted by DELee
    Mawar's path now predicted to cross GUM:



    Note: 125 kts = 144 mph. Category 4.

    David
    I've been looking at radar. An eyewall replacement should soon occur. This should mean weakening, but a much larger wind field. Will mean far more wave damage to Guam, however.

    Every time I plan a vacation to Guam, something happens. First covid, now this typhoon
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    Old May 23, 2023, 12:09 am
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    Originally Posted by Unitedloyalflyer
    I've been looking at radar. An eyewall replacement should soon occur. This should mean weakening, but a much larger wind field. Will mean far more wave damage to Guam, however.

    Every time I plan a vacation to Guam, something happens. First covid, now this typhoon
    Sorry. Dunno what to tell you - plan multiple trips as a way of distributing the odds?

    David
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    Old May 23, 2023, 1:27 am
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    Originally Posted by Unitedloyalflyer
    I've been looking at radar. An eyewall replacement should soon occur. This should mean weakening, but a much larger wind field. Will mean far more wave damage to Guam, however.
    Unfortunately, 23/06Z JTWC and SAB fixes are now up to T7.0 - Super Typhoon
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    Old May 23, 2023, 6:00 am
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