Why SFO TPAC downgrade (773 to non-converted? 772s) in 2018Q4?
#61
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#62
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And given I am more often doomed to E+ I hope those 2-4-2s with 9-across Y stick around as long as possible.
#63
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United filed most of its winter schedule equipment changes in the back half of July and early August in 2017, and similar patterns are noted in 2015 and 2016. It's only July 10 and the schedule (with equipment) United is selling now is impossible to meet. Things will change.
#64
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That's how my SFO HKG flight looked a few days before departure, but it went out completely full with minimal NRSA up front - the back filled up with folks who I assume did not reserve seats ahead of time because the upgrade and standby lists were not that long.
#65
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The practical use case, at least from my clients' perspective which is likely to mirror many product-aware travelers in a similar demographic (ie, the ones who buy Business/First on their own dime and have specific likes/dislikes towards airlines, aircraft, seats, etc), is flying EWR-HKG today in Polaris, having a reasonably not-horrible experience, then going to book the next trip and at that point we discover the Polaris seat is unavailable and when we disclose the seating arrangement, they balk and instruct us to book elsewhere.
Does that mean UA cannot sell the 2x4x2 772 closer to departure? I'm sure they will fill the cabin with a combination of upgrades, corporate discounts, loyalists and some discretionary purchases....it's not like the cabin will go empty....but the cabin/seating *does* factor into the purchase decision making process for many customers of a certain demographic despite claims to the contrary - the effect on a specific downgraded flight, however, is hard to forecast. Maybe they end up selling a higher percentage of P/D vs C/J fares on a downgraded route, depressing margins?
Pre-Polaris, people made a decision with full knowledge that IPTE was as good as they were going to get - either accept it or book elsewhere. Now an expectation is created for a better seat, then that expectation is yanked away, which creates a certain negativity or disappointment that wasn't a part of the purchase decision in the past.
Does that mean UA cannot sell the 2x4x2 772 closer to departure? I'm sure they will fill the cabin with a combination of upgrades, corporate discounts, loyalists and some discretionary purchases....it's not like the cabin will go empty....but the cabin/seating *does* factor into the purchase decision making process for many customers of a certain demographic despite claims to the contrary - the effect on a specific downgraded flight, however, is hard to forecast. Maybe they end up selling a higher percentage of P/D vs C/J fares on a downgraded route, depressing margins?
Pre-Polaris, people made a decision with full knowledge that IPTE was as good as they were going to get - either accept it or book elsewhere. Now an expectation is created for a better seat, then that expectation is yanked away, which creates a certain negativity or disappointment that wasn't a part of the purchase decision in the past.
#66
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I travel about 75% for business and 25% personal travel (approximately of 400K BIS travel each year). The factors influencing my choice are (in terms of importance):
1. Schedules and timing
Meetings and business commitments are the most important. There are calls scheduled around the clock and the ability to participate on the calls while traveling is quite important in choosing the flights
2. Price
I have control over my unit's annual travel budget (approved by my employer on an annual basis), I make sure I have enough budgets for unexpected travel needs, so I typically choose discount business fares when I know the schedules are certain and go for full fares if I can anticipate there will be changes ahead of time.
3. Airlines Status
I try to fly UA and SQ the most and then other *A carriers. I don't usually consider non-*A airlines unless scheduling or price becomes a factor. Airlines status helps during irregular operations and need to get on alternative flights and provide hotel rooms during cancellations or delays. GS and PPS have served me well.
4. PQM and RDM
PQM and RDM all go to United M+ to earn additional GPUs and RPUs for personal and family travels.
5. Upgrade space and Seats and type of aircrafts
Sure, for my personal travel, I care most about upgrade space and types of planes/configurations. For business travel, meeting time and work commitments are the most important. Do I like 1-2-1 Polaris seats? sure, but I settle for 2-4-2 because work comes first in the event of better schedule and pricing. Sometimes, I have extra GPUs to burn, I upgrade myself to Global First on the three-class planes. In fact, I am doing it today on my LHR-IAD flight using GPU/D fare.
So, yes, seats are important but there are more important things in life than get upset about airplane cabins.
1. Schedules and timing
Meetings and business commitments are the most important. There are calls scheduled around the clock and the ability to participate on the calls while traveling is quite important in choosing the flights
2. Price
I have control over my unit's annual travel budget (approved by my employer on an annual basis), I make sure I have enough budgets for unexpected travel needs, so I typically choose discount business fares when I know the schedules are certain and go for full fares if I can anticipate there will be changes ahead of time.
3. Airlines Status
I try to fly UA and SQ the most and then other *A carriers. I don't usually consider non-*A airlines unless scheduling or price becomes a factor. Airlines status helps during irregular operations and need to get on alternative flights and provide hotel rooms during cancellations or delays. GS and PPS have served me well.
4. PQM and RDM
PQM and RDM all go to United M+ to earn additional GPUs and RPUs for personal and family travels.
5. Upgrade space and Seats and type of aircrafts
Sure, for my personal travel, I care most about upgrade space and types of planes/configurations. For business travel, meeting time and work commitments are the most important. Do I like 1-2-1 Polaris seats? sure, but I settle for 2-4-2 because work comes first in the event of better schedule and pricing. Sometimes, I have extra GPUs to burn, I upgrade myself to Global First on the three-class planes. In fact, I am doing it today on my LHR-IAD flight using GPU/D fare.
So, yes, seats are important but there are more important things in life than get upset about airplane cabins.
#67
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Huh? July and August are the slowest months of the year for business travel. And business travel drives premium cabin demand on this route. SFO-HKG has been a pretty easy upgrade in July/August for years. And Thursday westbound is one of the easiest days of the week for upgrades. Saturday and Sunday are the high demand business travel days on SFO-HKG.
Bottom line: You can't draw any conclusions (or at least not credible ones) about how this route is doing by looking at J loads on a Thursday in July or August.
Bottom line: You can't draw any conclusions (or at least not credible ones) about how this route is doing by looking at J loads on a Thursday in July or August.
#68
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My main route is from SFO to TPE and we do this about 4 times a yr. Loved the fact that Polaris seats were available as we're booking confirmed seats in business w/ instruments. Sucks that things are changing and it looks like the "placeholder" idea isn't going to go away.
#69
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My main route is from SFO to TPE and we do this about 4 times a yr. Loved the fact that Polaris seats were available as we're booking confirmed seats in business w/ instruments. Sucks that things are changing and it looks like the "placeholder" idea isn't going to go away.
#70
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#71
Join Date: Mar 2013
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My main route is from SFO to TPE and we do this about 4 times a yr. Loved the fact that Polaris seats were available as we're booking confirmed seats in business w/ instruments. Sucks that things are changing and it looks like the "placeholder" idea isn't going to go away.
#72
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Huh? July and August are the slowest months of the year for business travel. And business travel drives premium cabin demand on this route. SFO-HKG has been a pretty easy upgrade in July/August for years. And Thursday westbound is one of the easiest days of the week for upgrades. Saturday and Sunday are the high demand business travel days on SFO-HKG.
Bottom line: You can't draw any conclusions (or at least not credible ones) about how this route is doing by looking at J loads on a Thursday in July or August.
Bottom line: You can't draw any conclusions (or at least not credible ones) about how this route is doing by looking at J loads on a Thursday in July or August.
While I think CX has been stupid in many ways to cut back the J service quality (so says everyone I know in HKG) United has set it self up to be fighting with Hong Kong Airlines for the bargain basement el chepo delux travelers.
#73
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The valid fare classes are Y&B* for OZ and Y, B, and K (full-fare premium economy) for BR. You can't waitlist these awards, and nobody's really sure what the inventory is. (It appears to be a hidden subset of the business class award inventory).
* or C&D, for Business -> First.
#74
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BR upgrade inventory is Z. That's not subject to debate.
#75
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Usually same as W on UA.
30k miles each way.
Huh? July and August are the slowest months of the year for business travel. And business travel drives premium cabin demand on this route. SFO-HKG has been a pretty easy upgrade in July/August for years. And Thursday westbound is one of the easiest days of the week for upgrades. Saturday and Sunday are the high demand business travel days on SFO-HKG.
Bottom line: You can't draw any conclusions (or at least not credible ones) about how this route is doing by looking at J loads on a Thursday in July or August.
Bottom line: You can't draw any conclusions (or at least not credible ones) about how this route is doing by looking at J loads on a Thursday in July or August.
I know for sure that the top 3 Bay Area tech giants easily can accomodate 75% of J seats to Asia.
No, it's absolutely not cheaper. However, EVA and Asiana sometimes have upgradable fares that aren't a great deal more expensive than a UA W fare. Pretty much nobody else does, although as more airlines add PE fares to the list, it's worth keep an eye open.
The valid fare classes are Y&B* for OZ and Y, B, and K (full-fare premium economy) for BR. You can't waitlist these awards, and nobody's really sure what the inventory is. (It appears to be a hidden subset of the business class award inventory).
* or C&D, for Business -> First.
The valid fare classes are Y&B* for OZ and Y, B, and K (full-fare premium economy) for BR. You can't waitlist these awards, and nobody's really sure what the inventory is. (It appears to be a hidden subset of the business class award inventory).
* or C&D, for Business -> First.
Last edited by WineCountryUA; Jul 24, 2018 at 4:33 pm Reason: merging consecutive posts by same member