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Originally Posted by FD1971
(Post 24808462)
Most of the input by IAH has been just fine, some of his comments are a bit off, mostly because he is a bit too US-centric, but on the other side most of his comments do not have the 'irrational EK fan' quality of the EK apologists.
The OP's original post and other comments have been completely devoid of facts, and he has purposely misrepresented quoted articles many times, including trying to tell an article's author what the article REALLY says... |
Originally Posted by edy4eva
(Post 24808457)
So we've gone from cheerleaders to apologists to sympathizers to fans. Have we had enough with categorizing people? And is this how far you can try to understand people - just at the superficial level?
@iahphx, if the bill draft you mention is this far ahead you've got nothing to fear or worry about then! And all this storm is pointless. @FD1971, Not only the 42 billions is such a random figure, it's pretty weak on your side to quote it as fact when we have shown over and over that it bears no meaning except the size of fallacy the US3 and their media machine have fallen into. As for your wonder, I say, why is it that so many 'experts' came out in support of the US3 allegations? Experts are too easy to hire and buy. And we've shown on numerous occasions how their so-called articles are nothing but fluffed up snippets from the US3 factoids. In post 1501 (page 101) I referenced some of the articles on US gov subsidies and concessions to US carriers; now why is it OK to tailor make policies and divert public monies to a private enterprise with private shareholders, but it's all shock and horror for a sovereign government to invest in their own airline? Isn't that epitome of hypocrisy? In this particular case, both the owner of Aviation in Dubai and the airline increased their debt massively, despite claiming to be sucessful. There is absolutely no doubt that aviation in the US failed resulting in billions of lost money for nearly all stakeholders...and it also failed simply because it was and is subject to a relatively free market. You cannot expect a broken airline to take care of a terminal building it owns...and you cannot expect an airline in a market known for razor thin margins to offer Orient Express like service, but at least you pay accordingly and you can fly cross-country for $300-400. Kennedy cared about low fares and safety and deregulation achieved both. Kennedy did not care about bankrupt cities and airlines and whether they can invest in (Aviation) infrastructure or not. Aviation in Dubai also failed (financially) and both Dubai and EK increased their debt, but other stakeholders won (i.e. the backpackers) so under the bottom line it is perfectly fine for many people involved and as long as Qatar, Abu and Dubai are willing and able to pay for it, we should be grateful and happily fly the ME3. For those fares, just twenty years ago, you experienced the likes of PIA, Biman or some obscure charter carriers from Turkey. |
Originally Posted by FD1971
(Post 24808462)
Most of the input by IAH has been just fine, some of his comments are a bit off, mostly because he is a bit too US-centric, but on the other side most of his comments do not have the 'irrational EK fan' quality of the EK apologists.
If you so easily reach for these terms, which are clearly meant in a derogatory way, then the only reason you don't apply similar terms to IAH is because then you would also fall into that category. iahphx's comments are, I think, clearly more "fanatical" than any others. He keeps brown-nosing his admired selection of US aviation bosses, commentators and journalists - while disregarding anything emanating from the opposing camp as impossible to believe - or just disregarding most of the questions that his posts here provoke. And, after 1000 trips through US airports, has never seen anyone sprawled on the ground.
Originally Posted by FD1971
(Post 24808462)
As pointed out before, I am working in this industry, I have consulted many many of the major airlines, I have given courses at most of the leading universities dealing with Aviation/Airline Management and I attended the vast majority of all aviation related conferences over the last 10-15 years, so with all due respect, I should have an idea what I am talking about.
So, you should indeed know what you are talking about - and yet, others that should know what they are talking about dismiss the allegations out of hand. (By the way - what do you think of the proposed IAG buyout of Aer Lingus? I would actually love to know)
Originally Posted by FD1971
(Post 24808462)
And since I do not work for any specific airline and only speculate with airline stock a little bit, I also do not sit or stand in a certain corner of a stadium, I just care about good management, btw, not only when it comes to airlines.
I really understand that most of the contributors lack the specific knowledge, hence I am always happy (if I find the time) to explain certain things to them (free of charge) or even invite them to a conference in order to make them learn more. This is a complex industry after all, this is an industry with a poor track record financially, actually it was used by HBS and Porter 35 years ago as an industry, which is constantly underperforming financially. ;) Or Turkish Airlines? You may portray yourself as an independent, unaffiliated operator who is not directly impacted and can therefore soar above the fray to gain a critical overview of the entire industry. But if your education, teaching, employment and consultation services have been predominantly gained/earned/given in a particular type of airline environment, and in a certain limited geographic environment - then perhaps you are no more qualified to judge than the layman on the street, and, in fact, given your decades of experience, may be imbued with a bias towards a certain style of operation and a certain type of airline. Saying you are an expert, or considering yourself an expert, is a very different thing than being an expert. And besides - your experience is not at all relevant to the matter - unless you have certain proof and evidence to aid the US3's case, which you so far have failed to produce. You're offering to provide explanation, yet you continually appear to just belittle those whose opinion is different to yours, and back up your opinion only with your claims to an education and experience that "should" (as you state) be relevant - but may not actually be! (The airline industry, like every other industry, is awash with "experts" who still sometimes get things wrong!) |
Originally Posted by eternaltransit
(Post 24807898)
^
but it would be a shame if later down the line the poll gets cited in some sort of dubious official presentation as flimsy evidence that "even the travelling public think it's a scam" BTT, I still am under the impression EK should realize this is not a popularity contest. They should concentrate more on politics and back room negotiations and deals. Interviews and ads just waste of time. Also repeating same little information in various formats and interviews is not useful. Americans love a good story with lot of analogies. What I see is repetition of exactly same information on web, white paper, inflight magazine and interviews. Service quality is not a factor in Open Skies agreement, so having better product is not going make their case. Bringing up that well known issue just irritates US3. Lot of readers can reason with your explanations on FT. Probably they could use your help. |
Originally Posted by avcritic
(Post 24808574)
BTT, I still am under the impression EK should realize this is not a popularity contest. They should concentrate more on politics and back room negotiations and deals. Interviews and ads just waste of time.
https://img.washingtonpost.com/blogs...fluence600.jpg Emirates and Etihad have commenced lobbying in Washington in a big way in the past 2 months - the US3 have left them no choice. |
Originally Posted by irishguy28
(Post 24808569)
(By the way - what do you think of the proposed IAG buyout of Aer Lingus? I would actually love to know)
Originally Posted by irishguy28
(Post 24808569)
You may portray yourself as an independent, unaffiliated operator who is not directly impacted and can therefore soar above the fray to gain a critical overview of the entire industry. (The airline industry, like every other industry, is awash with "experts" who still sometimes get things wrong!) Hence, I asked questions that are of interest to me multiple times throughout this discussion, first and foremost if EK is running a black zero from ops. these days? This is really interesting to me. Without any doubt they lost billions getting to where they are at the moment, but now we are talking about 2.5 waves, well on their way to three waves and we are talking about a position of a well-established quality carrier. Without any doubt, they are about to enter the era of legacy costs, without any doubt, the complexity of running such an operation will increase costs massively, but parts of the network look good, i.e. Europe-Asia. |
Originally Posted by FD1971
(Post 24808462)
mostly because he is a bit too US-centric.
By the way, I've made it clear that I think the big A380 mid west /west coast services are loss making at the fares they seem to be charging. Although QF does make the longest A380 flight in the world work, seemingly. However, I'm still waiting for the explanation why 777 services to the major east coast population centres such as Washington, Philly and Boston are so "mind boggling". In the long run they may work, they may not (and maybe that's the plan, they don't work, but get routed via MXP, MUC or BCN instead), but wouldn't think they stretch credibility too much. A number of airlines have similar length 777 flights from major population centres to their hubs, including DL and UA. |
Originally Posted by iahphx
(Post 24803353)
I waiting for Tim Clark to give an interview to a USA aviation journalist like Ted Reed (as opposed to the Pravda-like arrangements in the UAE).
Originally Posted by iahphx
(Post 24767986)
Here's a classic example of a Middle Eastern analyst talking about how wonderful Emirates business model is -- without any knowledge whatsoever of airline economics.
https://foreignpolicy.com/2015/05/04...-delta-united/
Originally Posted by iahphx
(Post 24755770)
A UAE newspaper has run a story showing -- surprise -- that average airfares to the UAE are down sharply. Again.
http://www.thenational.ae/business/a...ngs-down-fares |
Originally Posted by avcritic
(Post 24808574)
BTT, I still am under the impression EK should realize this is not a popularity contest. They should concentrate more on politics and back room negotiations and deals. Interviews and ads just waste of time. We flood the markets with capacity, we subsidize all the backpackers, hence society will start to embrace us and we can survive, because we are popular. It worked in the UK (creating lots of fan support on FT, for example) and it worked in other markets as well, not as good as in the UK, but still okay. Etihad's strategy might come to an abrupt hold now...with Germany starting to put restrictions on what the EK Feeder slaves are allowed to fly. And if the slaves are not allowed to work, I fear they will have to survive in the Colliseum aka the market without Etihad's money, which will mean market exit in some months. |
Stepping back a little.
The OP theory is that EK must be financially rigged to be able to sustain this route expansion. The Fair Skies movement pivots the argument on 'unfair subsidies'. FD1971 asserts that EK must be heavily subsidised along with all of its supply chain. The OP theory has so many holes in it and lacks evidence. The Fair Skies argument is plain hypocrisy, not to mention that they're chosen an accusation that can NEVER be shown to be untrue - even if EK open up their leather bound books, they will still be accused of rigging them. AND we know that EK brings jobs and money to the US like no other airline. FD1971's perspective sounds plausible at face value, but it's just an another take on fuel subsidies/discounting. Even if EK can do things so cheaply at home base (because of shifting costs to other business units), more than 90 percent of their daily flights from outstations rely on services and products supplied in OTHER markets where ICD/EK group/DXB gov have little or no financial interest. We can spend thousands of hours debating these allegations and nothing will come out of it. I don't expect the OP or FD1971 to change their views -they're pretty hard on those and have shown no interest in challenging them. Especially the OP who keeps spinning the same ideas, sees and reads -and misreads everything as further evidence to his theory. I don't claim to be an expert on finances nor airlines. I am far removed from that. Even the field that I am in, I am far from claiming myself to be an expert (even if my academic title indicates so). The reality is, one can label gibberish as the spoken word of God and build a long list of convictions and rules. Whether they can prove it or convince others, that depends on the intelligence of the audience not so much about the quality or format of the gibberish. Six months on, I still can't see any evidence to what the OP and the US3 claim. And judging from others engaged in this debate, can't see it happening with others either. What amazes me is how long this poll has been open for, and how the Yes numbers have been creeping up. Where are these people's views and comments? I would love to hear their perspectives. |
Originally Posted by lokijuh
(Post 24808689)
I actually think that is what is motivating people to become EK "apologists", not any deep underlying affection for EK. Instead wanting to take to task someone who exudes cultural superiority. I mean look at the latest remarks about US airports, and complete inability to comprehend that people with experiences other than his own might perceive them differently. Undermines credibility.
By the way, I've made it clear that I think the big A380 mid west /west coast services are loss making at the fares they seem to be charging. Although QF does make the longest A380 flight in the world work, seemingly. However, I'm still waiting for the explanation why 777 services to the major east coast population centres such as Washington, Philly and Boston are so "mind boggling". In the long run they may work, they may not (and maybe that's the plan, they don't work, but get routed via MXP, MUC or BCN instead), but wouldn't think they stretch credibility too much. A number of airlines have similar length 777 flights from major population centres to their hubs, including DL and UA. I simply do not like ultra long haul flights and I started looking at them from the perspective of a manufacturer by simply adding up the numbers to see if any airline can make money flying 8-9k (which would mean demand for A&B) We did not really figure out a lot of routes where it would make sense... and that was during a time, when oil was significantly cheaper. And routes from Singapore were already were high on the list. ;) :D Do not get me wrong, the 77W is so much better than the 772LR and, especially, the A345, but I still prefer spreading people at a regional hub after flying them for 3.5-4.5k, so using a bit more than one bird instead of nearly two birds for a 7/7 operation. |
Originally Posted by edy4eva
(Post 24808766)
What amazes me is how long this poll has been open for, and how the Yes numbers have been creeping up. Where are these people's views and comments? I would love to hear their perspectives.
I am pretty sure he voted YES |
Can the admins make the commenting on this thread a requirement for voting?
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Originally Posted by FD1971
(Post 24808349)
We are still looking for just one expert supporting the views of the EK fans on this board...
Neither you or the OP have provided any evidence other than that you feel it in your water :) As I've said many times, I'm open minded... I just want proof. |
Originally Posted by edy4eva
(Post 24808818)
Can the admins make the commenting on this thread a requirement for voting?
I find it very strange that the YES vote had almost doubled in the last 5 days or so. It was 10 for long while, now 19. |
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