Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: DCA / WAS
Programs: DL 2+ million/PM, YX, Marriott Plt, *wood gold, HHonors, CO Plt, UA, AA EXP, WN, AGR
Posts: 9,386
Price has already gone up a lot - up to 3 times as much. I predict much higher by the winter. Cheap mileage runs are history.... the airlines will really get to test price-elasticity of their product.
I also think that top-tier status is going to be critical for the business traveler on an airline with deep coverage (such as DL/NW, UA or AA). I'd estimate that capacity will get cut back so much that the "guaranteed seat" benefit of many top-tier programs will actually be useful.....