13 out of 18 people on today's flight were upgraded and the front cabin was not full. If you check the PDA site (http://pda.continental.com/info) you'll have a better idea of your chances.

If you are not an elite but you are on your father's PNR you may want to have him call the Elite line and split the PNR. This gives him a better chance of being upgraded. When he gets to the airport, have him add you as a companion to the upgrade standby list.