Originally Posted by
opus17
Any chance? Yes. A realistic chance? Not so much.
Exactly. The OP's only chance is for an op-up. That occurs when coach is oversold and some pax are reaccmodated in business. Although there is speculation about exactly how the pax are selected for op-ups, it is pretty widely agreed that the GA starts with the elite pax of the operating airline.
In this case,
IF there is the need for any op-up(s), the AF (or CO) elite pax would be upgraded before any other pax. Sometimes, the GA upgrades all of the elites of the operating airline and then moves on to the elites of other SkyTeam airlines. It does happen, it has happened to me (got an op-up on a NW flight as a DL elite), but it is
VERY rare.
However, since the OP doesn't have any status, the odds for an op-up are in the same range of winning Megaball.