Originally Posted by Torgen
It may not be completely indicative, but it's certainly more indicative.
Ninety days worth of flying may be more indicative of someone's flying pattern over an entire year than thirty or sixty days, but I really think it's a stretch to say that there is any meaningful relevance to that period over the long term. This is precisely for the point that
oklAAhoma raises - that is, one can hit PLT via challenge with concentrated activity during a short period (or even in the span of 48 hours) that may or may not repeat itself.
Let's consider, as an example, the fact that I logged nearly 13k Q-points during a 30-day period between July 28 and August 27. Using your logic, that is an indicator that I should have had no problem getting to EXP. This is not the case, however - not only am I not close to EXP, I'm requalifying for PLT via segments this year, not points or miles. In fact, I'm going to only have about 42k Q-points this year.
I have no doubt that, for some people, the 3-month period is an indicator of consistent future activity. By and large, though, I don't think that three months is really any more indicative than two months, one month, or even one weekend - because the other nine months (or longer) have too much potential to be simply random in comparison.
Mike