FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - How safe is Egypt?
View Single Post
Old Apr 29, 2006 | 6:41 pm
  #107  
GUWonder
Suspended
 
Join Date: Jul 2001
Location: Watchlisted by the prejudiced, en route to purgatory
Programs: Just Say No to Fleecing and Blacklisting
Posts: 102,077
Originally Posted by stimpy
You tell me. In case you didn't get the point, most all the murders in the US don't make the papers until they get to writing up the year-end statistics in each city. Then everyone is appalled by the thousands of murders that happened that year. My point is the US is far more dangerous if you go by statistics.
You are correct, the US is far more dangerous if one goes by statistics.

Egypt gets about 8,000,000 tourists per year, right? Of those, the death rate from violence towards tourists is less than .01 per thousand visitors for each of the last 5 years for which there are complete numbers.

The US has a murder rate that is multiples greater: about .03-.04 per 1,000 people sometimes as high as .06 per 1,000 people, right? Now let's go to one of my favorite places in the world: Washington, D.C. It's a prime tourist destination in the US and often has a murder rate above .55 per 1,000 population. DC = much riskier.

The number of reported murders in all of Egypt in at least one year out of the last 4 was lower than number of reported murders in just Washington DC.

The greater risk in Egypt is the traffic, right? With some .12-.15 per 1,000 population dying as a result of accidents, right?

If I'm wrong, it should be easy to show the above to be substantially incorrect. If I'm right, watch for nitpicking.
GUWonder is offline