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Old Nov 12, 2005 | 3:28 pm
  #41  
Jotmo
 
Join Date: Aug 2005
Location: Beloit, WI
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Posts: 53
Originally Posted by Doppy
There's an error in your math. You didn't both to include non-Muslim terrorists in the above calculation. Of course the "statistics" are going to be biased in your favor if you bias the calculation of them.
Yes , I know that. And if you nit pick it to death you'll find about a hundred other variables that would go into a calculation like that, if it was meant to be all inclusive and statistically valid. To take that quick little math exercise as anything other than a superficial calculation to illustrate a point is just not a reasonable. Don't take it for anything other than what it was. As an example, you'll notice I included the Muslims in the total population, which actually slants the percentage in their favor. This is what we call a "quick and dirty" calculation. And it was merely to get a point across.

That point being that profiling and risk assessment in the way it would be applied to our discussion is not dependent on the raw probability of something happening . It's based on what is MORE likely v. LESS likely. And that pointing out the minuscule mathematical probability of one group being a threat is irrelevant to what we're discussing.

I'm aware that statistics can be slanted by the user to prove what they want. That's something else I was trying to illustrate.

"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damn lies, and statistics."
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