FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - Probability of crash calculator
View Single Post
Old Nov 9, 2005, 8:52 am
  #9  
oiRRio
 
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Ireland
Programs: AA PLT 2MM, IHG Plat
Posts: 3,566
Originally Posted by Tu114
The site you were thinking of was www.amigoingdown.com - which, before you click, is now defunct.
It was a bit of fun that site. Who cares if it was accurate.

IIRC the probability of T/A flights on AA crashing was about 5/6/7 million to one. BA T/A flights were slightly higher I think. The highest I came across was LHR-DUB on EI which IIRC was about 11/12m to 1. The lowest I flew was GCM-HAV on Cubana which was either 32,000 or 16,000 to 1.
oiRRio is offline