FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - Fuel costs may ground more flights, says AA CEO
Old Oct 8, 2005 | 12:44 am
  #20  
Jakebeth
 
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Midwest
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Originally Posted by chaneytexas
The problem is that there's too much excess capacity in the system. Congress needs to let the bad actors fail instead of constantly bailing them out. Airline bankruptcies reward the worst competitiors, thereby crippling the best... If we let a carrier or two fail, it would take capacity out of the system, fares would rise, and viola, problem solved. Congress should just let the market sort the airline mess out
With the exception of the establishment of the Air Transportation Stabilization Board, and the bankrputcy laws that Congress has written (and recently adjusted), I'm not aware that the body has been particularly involved in any of these cases, nor that they've 'bailed out' any of the airlines in question.

We debated this issue a little bit in the sticky thread about AA in a post DL bankruptcy world. Here's a snippet from one of my posts:
In essence, when a large company goes into bankruptcy, its prior owners almost always cease to own the company any longer. People have made this same point about MCI (of course, many of those people work at competitors who wanted to see MCI disolved), as though bankruptcy operation were a reward. It was anything but. The CEO wound up going to jail, and anyone who owned a piece of the company would up with ZERO. Thousands of people lost their jobs, as has happened at other airlines, and will almost certainly occur at NW and DL. (Ask yourself - is it 'unfair' that they haven't all lost their jobs?) In general, the parties who lent money to a company generally have claim on what's left. The system's willingness to allow bankruptcy financings and continued operations is essentially an effort to allow creditors to maximize their recovery from a 'loan' that's gone bad.

Now, if creditors hang onto old management, and all of the same people stay involved in a company, it may look to the outside world as though nothing's changed. But the shift of ownership is critical. Without the potential for bankruptcy operation, our debt markets would operate very, very differently, and would arguably be MUCH less sanguine about lending money to business. That's particularly the case in circumstances under which lenders believe that a liquidition would produce significantly lower recovery. An extension of that point is the observation that US capital markets have developed so much over the past many years that they're considered in many ways to be a competitive, strategic advantage of the US economy.
If anybody has 'bailed out' the airlines, it's been the lenders who have provided Debtor-In-Possession (DIP) financing, in accordance with governing bankruptcy laws. They do so not for political reasons, but because there are strong economic incentives to lend money in this way.

As implied above, meanwhile, the commercial bankruptcy laws are ultimately designed not to save jobs or airlines, though that may be a side effect, but to help maximize creditor recoveries.

Admittedly, the system has likely been distorted in the past by politics when it comes to airlines, but they don't avoid liquidation as a way to help employees or hurt competitors. They avoid liquidation when and if that seems like the most likely route to help creditors recover the money they've lent.
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