FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - current intra-China fare data plus comments
Old Oct 7, 2005 | 12:31 am
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moondog
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current intra-China fare data plus comments

As you can see, I have some extra time on my hands this afternoon (China is basically shut down this week) so I've taken it upon myself to do a little number crunching with the hope of providing those interested with a better understanding of the way air fares are priced in China. The following chart is based on data extracted from ctrip and the Great Circle Mapper:



PHP Code:
route    km    y    y/km    c    f    low    low/y
pek-kmg    2113    1810    0.86    2350    2720    540    29.8%
pek-can    1876    1700    0.91    2210    2550    680    40.0%
sha-ctu    1662    1610    0.97    2090    2420    1290    80.1%
sha-can    1174    1280    1.09    1660    1920    900    70.3%
pek-sha    1075    1130    1.05    1470    1700    450    39.8%
pek-xiy    934    1050    1.12    1370    1580    630    60.0%
szx-hak    459    690    1.50    900    1040    210    30.4%
kmg-ljg    176    530    3.01    690    800    210    39.6%
sha-ngb    153    420    2.75    ---    630    250    59.5% 
Comments:

-all currency units in RMB (/8 to get USD equivalents)

-base (y) fares are set by the government. c is y +30%; f is y +50% (rounded to the nearest 10 rmb). The airlines themselves have a reasonable amount of lattitude with respect to the numbers of discount seats they make available.

-column four is the y fare divided by distance. In the past, this was pretty much standardized across the board (for train travel, it still is), but it now appears that shorter trips cost more.

-column seven refers to the lowest price on offer for flights leaving tomorrow. I have no idea why the ex-SHA fares are so much higher than the rest (has been the case all summer, actually), but I will point out that SHA-NGB for y250 is a good deal.

-the last column (eight) refers to the low price divided by the y price. Chinese quote discounts in this (bottom-up) manner, except they move the decimal two places to the left. As such, travel agent business cards that advertise 2-8折机票 mean that they sell tickets for 30-80% off full fare Y.

-Generally, it's tough to get deep discounts ex-cities where your travel agent doesn't have a local ticketing presence. For example, I can always find good fares to Kunming, but have never been able to find anything below y1000 on the return without calling up agents there. (For tomorrow, ctrip's low on kmg-pek is 1090, a 6折 or 40% discount.)

Edited to add: Sorry, that's the best I can do with respect to table formatting, given my limited knowledge of this interface.

Last edited by moondog; Oct 7, 2005 at 12:46 am
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