Originally Posted by
aerosly
This one is a real wildcard. I've been following this industry for decades and, usually, airlines with unsuccessful business models muddle along for awhile and either go bankrupt or merge. I see no reason right now to think Frontier is different. And I don't think Frontier is a great candidate for merger, because they have no core market (like a hub) to transfer and I don't think anyone would really want their customer-fronting employee base, which is inferior to the major airlines (sorry, just stating what I've seen the past several years).
The business model that works best in America right now is to offer the perception of luxury -- while often only providing modest improvement -- and charge elites significantly more money for it. Voila! You get a profit margin. This is what all the major airlines are doing, and it's working. Frontier's problem is their customer base is the less affluent value shopper. If they raise prices, they will lose a percentage of their customers. That would be OK, but their business model is based on growth -- not shrinking to a smaller, sustainable base. They keep hiring new (aka cheaper) employees and do these sale/leaseback transactions on new aircraft to raise cash. So I'm not sure a higher fare model will work. We'll just have to see.