Originally Posted by
aerosly
If the gas prices don't stabilize and return to affordable levels, they're going to suffer anyway. A lot of that money people would be spending on travel (discretionary budget) will go to fuel purchases instead.
That becomes a problem we've seen before, though. Discretionary budgets dry up, and people stop spending on luxuries... yes, F9 would be affected, but so would a lot of small businesses and retailers. If it's a sustained period of high prices, those business start to suffer and go under, which then exacerbates the problem by increasing the unemployment rate and drying up discretionary spending even more. Hopefully this issue rectifies quickly and prices start to decline, but the latest reports I've seen have regular gas (nevermind avgas) > $5/gallon through the summer.
A prediction of "$5/gallon gas through the summer" is completely meaningless. We know why gas prices are high: there's little oil going through the Straight of Hormuz. One way or another, this conflict could be resolved tomorrow, or it could take months/years to be resolved. We could also see increased output elsewhere that mitigates the problem. Place whatever bet you want, but nobody can really predict what will happen and when.