Unless DOH or DXB is seriously hit, people will go back in droves to QR/EK. People will reason this was a short(?) war and Iran has no interest in bombing further if they “win”. People have short term memories and choose what’s best for the wallet. The vast majority of travellers are not frequent and those booking in three months from now will go by price. I’ll concede that in the short term they may lower prices to retain butts in seats (ie bookings in next couple weeks). The only way I see the ME carriers being impacted long term is if this protracts and some guerilla warfare remains so that there’s a perception flying through the region is an actual risk.