With the suggestion that the war will last for at least a month, this is looking like the biggest disruption to EK/EY/QR ops since the pandemic— and maybe more severe in some ways.

If there is a UAE-Iran ceasefire agreement, great. But in the fog of war, what is the risk of an errant missile targeting the wrong plane?

Just look at: Ukraine International Flight 752, accidentally shot down by Iran over Tehran in 2020– or Iran Air Flight 655, shot down by the US over the Gulf in 1988.

Not to mention Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 over Ukraine in 2014.

Flying near or over a war zone is potentially dangerous.