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Thread: [Consolidated] Chance of upgrade clearing on my flight
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Old Feb 15, 2026 | 11:37 pm
  #590  
npei
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Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: TPE, SF, DC
Programs: UA Lifetime GS 4mm
Posts: 936
Originally Posted by whitethunder
Just like some thoughts from the experts: I'm flying LAX-HKG on March 7th. Currently: J9 JN9 C6 D3 Z0 ZN0 P0 PN0 PZ0 IN0 I0 O4 ON4 A3 R0 RN0, 13-Polaris seats showing vacant.

I can rebook to SFO-HKG as it has far more open seats but the cost is 600 dollars so I am trying to see what the experts thing the odds are as I would rather save the 600 bucks.

The beta upgrade list says I am 3rd. I currently am 1K with an R fare using plus points.

Thanks for any insights, I have never flown the day flight to HKG from LAX before so it's really hard to judge.
I have flown many times LAX-HKG and SFO-HKG as 1K and GS. I think you have good chance #3 with >9 J seats. Not worth it to pay $600 for SFO-HKG, and SFO is GS-heavy hub (biz travel plans often made <T-14 days)
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