Was 99% sure that my 'discounted' offer for ~$1650 to Gold was not worth the buyup, and talking here I'm feeling justified. Fell short of Gold PQPs by a little under 1400 points. With my first major trip this year on points, I suspect I'll end up falling short again this year and I've got Silver and the basic card already for basic perks.
(Someone tell me if I'm dead wrong, but the more I see here the less I think that's true.)