Originally Posted by
nacho
For TK it might be the case. I do also think that a lot of C pax are on mile tickets. Those bloggers raved about TK so some of those people who initially booked AC might want to give TK a try - hence you have people talking about transferring points to M&S and seat selection with 014/016 stock. I don't know how many of those are here on FT.
That's why people book as soon as inventory opens, so whethter it's a win for an airline depends on how well they guess the load on that particular flight (as you also know it's pretty difficult to get miles ticket for 5 pax as most airlines release 1-4 seats per flight). The "might" open up thing doesn't seem to be a TK thing. It's more of a LH F and SK C thing (1-3 days before departure and often only 1 way). I also know you can't get an award the weekend right up to Christmas and new year, and in every school holidays. That's another reason that I don't value them that much.
I have never ever seen TK release more than 3 seats in I class. - so when business would be filled with award passengers - most of them must pay the heavy C-award fees which I really doubt. There might be some upgraders, but the J bucket is also restricted (afaik max 8 seats per flight). Many biz-seats don't stay unsold on longhaul so even last minute upgrades would not be guaranteed.