Originally Posted by
GiantCow
Currently have a ORD -> LHR flight booked about 7 weeks out using miles in PE (ON). I'm seeing an upgrade option to Polaris for $4.1k.
What are the odds that a cheaper upgrade offer becomes available closer to the flight? About a year or so ago I was able to snag a pretty cheap E to PE upgrade on a SA to US flight a few days before departure.
If there are, and continue to be, a lot of open business class seats, high. If there aren't, low.
About 7 weeks could either be the pretty quiet time in early-mid December before holiday travel starts, in which case I'd guess you have a very good chance, or it could be the start of holiday travel in which case it's far less likely. Either way, $4.1k is not exactly a deal price, so you're not really giving anything up by not jumping on that.