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Old Nov 1, 2025 | 11:03 pm
  #68  
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Originally Posted by ClipperDelta
The Bay Area has more corporates willing to shell out the big bucks for up front travel than either SEA or LAX; that’s what’s driving UA’s success there.




In the case of HKG, SFO is actually the biggest US market. That plus the corporate element I mentioned above is what drives the premium in fares compared to LAX or SEA. But Delta can’t run SFO-HKG so LAX is the next best option; SEA-HKG has already been tried and failed, and the market dynamics have not changed significantly since then that would indicate Delta would succeed with SEA-HKG this time round.

For MNL, the largest local US market is LAX (covering both LAX and SAN); in fact, UA’s SFO-MNL currently has a material number of connecting pax every night from LAX. Here Delta can actually take some of that traffic from UA if it were to start LAX-MNL. In addition, there is only one competitor in the nonstop LAX-MNL market they would have to deal with- the rather mediocre PR.

SEA is actually more suited for Northern Asia markets in terms of market size. Japan and surprisingly China are strong local markets for SEA.
Which is why I expect that DL will resume SEA-PEK once more PRC frequencies become available versus starting LAX-PEK.
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