I know Kirby alluded to some potential big changes they are thinking about to MP. The only thing I can contemplate would be something that drives more people to being captive to the ecosystem, i.e. making MP more along the lines of AA's qualification system (where you can earn status points through many more vectors). Hard for me to believe they would take a punt on that, though, in much more uncertain macroeconomic times.

My base scenario would be that UA does not change their status thresholds and will only tweak things around the edges (like starter bonus PQP).