FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - LH Group suspend flights to Tehran & Avoids Iran/Iraq Airspace
Old Jun 18, 2025 | 7:02 am
  #27  
oliver2002
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If the travel advisories turn into warnings, airlines stop flying there because their crews are in danger and can't stay in that region after/before the flight. So the cancellations will take of that for you.

EASA is warning and asking airlines to avoid the airspace surrounding the affected countries:

https://www.easa.europa.eu/en/domain.../czibs/2025-02

This CZIB is issued based on information currently available to EASA and the European Commission in order to share information which is considered necessary to ensure the safety of flights over zones of interest and indicate areas of high risk.

On 13 June 2025, Israel conducted a military strike targeting sites within Iranian territory. In response, Iran launched retaliatory attacks.

The ongoing military operations pose high risk not only to the airspace of Iran and Israel but also to that of neighbouring States affected by the hostilities and associated military activities, including interceptions.

The possession of all-altitude capable air-defence systems, cruise and ballistic missiles and the use of air assets capable to operate at all-altitudes, including interception capability beyond the borders of Iran and Israel make the entire affected airspace vulnerable to spill-over risks, misidentification, miscalculation and failure of interception procedures.

In terms of airspace management, most of the States concerned have taken measures to address existing airspace risks by implementing temporary airspace closures and restrictions.

However, there is uncertainty on the continued ability to timely adopt such mitigating measures. The situation remains volatile, with a heightened risk of further military action, whether through direct strikes or broader regional involvement.

Given the current and expected developments, there is thus a high risk to civil aviation in the airspace of Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, and Lebanon.

EASA, together with the Commission and Member States, will continue to closely monitor the situation, with a view to assess whether there is an increase or decrease of the risk for EU aircraft operators due to the evolution of the threat and risk situation.
Currently all east-west traffic is squeezing thru a narrow corridor north of Iran and Russia over Armenia/Georgia and south of Iraq and Israel. If something destined for northern Iraq or southern Israel strays off course we are in for trouble,
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