FWIW, there is a Q&A published on the EU website about flight disruptions caused by the conflict in Israel (
https://transport.ec.europa.eu/syste...ger_rights.pdf - the link is on
https://europa.eu/youreurope/citizen...r/index_en.htm) :
1. My flight to Israel was cancelled due to the conflict. Do I have rights?
YES - [...] In addition, you may also have a right to compensation, but this must first be assessed for your particular case: if the airline can prove that a cancellation, or long delay (more than 3 hours), is caused by ‘extraordinary circumstances’ it is not obliged to pay compensation. This means that the events which caused the cancellation or delay are beyond the control of the airline and could not have been avoided even if the airline had taken all reasonable measures. The current circumstances in Israel, including the security risks, may possibly be grounds for an exemption from the obligation for airlines to pay compensation. Nevertheless, the question as to whether individual airlines can be exempted from paying compensation will need to be assessed on a case-by-case basis.
TL;DR: nobody knows (including the EU itself), but Air France would certainly feel better if you were discouraged from pushing further.