Originally Posted by
EWR764
We must be seeing different things if you are routinely getting sub-$4k (assume P) fares on EWR-LHR unless you are talking about 21 day+ advance purchase, midwinter or during fare wars. The current pricing environment is not consistent what you describe.
Well, yes, I do usually buy more than 21 days in advance. However, "the current pricing environment" shows me a $3,359 r/t fare, out Tues May 27, back Fri May 30. That's a 7 day advance purchase, with 3-day minimum stay (not even a Sat night stay). Fare available on virtually all (if not all) departures.
FWIW, I'm seeing IAD and ORD at ~$3500, slightly more. SFO $3700 (I'm assuming EWR-LHR at $3.4k is more profitable than SFO-LHR at $3.7 though).
With no advance purchase but still 3-day min stay the fare goes up to $5.7k.
The only reason that yields on this route would be as high as you say is if there are a high number of travelers buying last-minute tickets for a 1-2 day trip. I suppose that's possible, but they're usually clearing upgrades 72+ hours before, if not releasing lots of PZ even earlier. Though of course I didn't look at PE/Y fares.