I got an offer to upgrade my Amex Marriott card which included a bonus comparable to ones for a new app, over a year ago; I accepted. I'd really rather get a similar offer to upgrade to the Surpass. Is that even a thing? Did my accepting the Marriott offer rule out, or maybe delay, getting the Hilton offer?

I realize no-one is privy to the inner workings of Amex, but any educated guesses? Relevant data points? Thanks.