FlyerTalk Forums - View Single Post - New AA and AS flights from DCA
View Single Post
Old Oct 17, 2024 | 6:52 am
  #14  
ATOBTTR
FlyerTalk Evangelist
1M
Community Builder
All eyes on you!
10 Years on Site
 
Join Date: Jun 2015
Location: Back in Reds Country (DAY/CVG). Previously: SEA & SAT.
Posts: 11,977
Originally Posted by JetAway
Actually, San Antonio's population is at least a half million more than Austin's.
The metro areas have about a 230K population difference https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metrop..._area#Rankings

That said, as the San Antonio metro expands north and the Austin metro area expands south, the metro areas are on the verge of :just combining into one giant metro area along the I-35 corridor.

Originally Posted by Herb687
I will take the other side of that trade. I predict a bloodbath on AA's SAT-DCA route. Horrible yields in the local market based on the GSA contract fares posted upthread. And you will likely get a bunch of mediocre yielding flow too since SAT's pricing structure is pretty trashed by LCC competition.
Will just have to wait and see. The GSA City Pair fare on DFW-DCA is $400 one-way on AA this FY (and BWI is $401, also on AA). As another data point, WN gets $392 one-way on DAL-DCA and $497 on DAL-BWI for this FY. So I could easily see a $300-$400 or more bid by AA for DCA-SAT on its GSA City Pair fare bid for FY26.

I think AA's biggest issue on this route will be how many people walk up to the scanner when "Military Boarding" is called.
ATOBTTR is offline