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Old Oct 11, 2024 | 1:04 am
  #428  
NZflyer777
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Join Date: Jul 2023
Location: New Zealand
Programs: CX Gold
Posts: 407
Originally Posted by djsflynn
That's a nice 'recommendation' but CX is already very capex-heavy on its future fleet, and to my knowledge it has no 'options' on the books – which means Cathay would need to place a new order (expensive) and stand in line behind the many other airlines waiting for A350 deliveries. So as nice as it might be to see four-class A350-1000s, even if Cathay inked an order right now those planes would be many years away. The airline is pretty much locked into its 777 fleet plan, at least for now, and obviously everyone's hoping the 777-9 finally begins commercial flights in late 2025.

Could that change? Well look, if it got to breaking point and a bunch of airlines walked away from their 777-9 orders (with a refund + interest from Boeing!), that'd see a massive crunch on A350 orders as the obvious (only) real replacement, and Airbus can't just magik up a similarly massive increase in production, so we're back to long l-o-n-g delays. But let's not worry about any of that for now, and see how things develop in Boeing-land.
CX has barely any deliveries over the next 3 years


Their fleet will likely be smaller in early 2026 than 2019 CX plus KA


They could lease more planes if they were serious about building the HKG hub , but i guess they will just cede market share as the 3rd runway opens .
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