We definitely seem to be in a cycle when using miles on long-hauls and with partners seems quite difficult - or at rates so high that using miles makes no sense at all. But I've never been 100% shut out...usually there are options at insane rates.

The positive side of the cycle is that I've been using my miles for excellent value on short-hauls. I realize this is boring and not what FTers like to do, I've always been fine buying the cheaper tickets and holding the miles for international J/F. But now some of my usual routes have gotten pricey due to lack of competition, but the miles to redeem have actually gone down. So...for now...AA miles are simple cash-replacement awards for me.

Is the total lack of availability because there's a connection onward from an international airport and you're 100% at the mercy of at least one partner segment?