Let's bring some real data to a discussion about AS shrinking and abandoning SFO, which has a lot of emotional hyperbole.
- AS expects to be 11-14% larger in 2023 than 2022; growth is expected to moderate in 2024 but will be positive
- AS enplaned 2,204,832 pax at SFO Jan-September 2023 (including QX/OO operated flights). This compares to 2,526,095 in the same period of 2019. This means 2023 is 87% of 2019.
- Total enplaned pax at SFO in 2023 is at 86% of 2019 (18,578,910 vs. 21,602,360). This means AS has shrunk slightly less than other airlines.
- For other competitors 2023 v 2019: DL is 86%, B6 is 95% (but 1/4 the size of AS) and SWA is 63%
All data can be downloaded here:
https://data.sfgov.org/Transportatio...tics/rkru-6vcg
AS will be smaller for a period of time during the slow winter months, but that capacity will be returned since the airline is not shrinking overall.