While knowing what UA's competitor DL will require for status in 2025 is an important piece of data, we don't have the information needed to predict with any accuracy what UA will do.
I have made many bold predictions in the past and have been wrong every single time. Maybe DL just wants to cull the herd for real this time.
If UA decides to reduce the cohort of top status fliers, then we know what they could do. What I hope they do is nothing even though as a MM my fallback Gold status may suddenly seem more special.