I’m sure others will have more detailed insight, but this far out it’s too hard to tell what the winter roster will look like. I wouldn’t be surprised if they dropped First over winter on EWR in favour of some of the winter sun destinations, but I’ve long since learned not to try double guess the logic of what goes on at Waterside…

I know it doesn’t help resolve the situation, but you should at least get hefty compensation: https://www.caa.co.uk/passengers/res...s/downgrading/