Originally Posted by
clarkeysntfc
Do BA even have enough long haul aeroplanes to fly there given the 747 retirements haven't been fully replaced?
In a nutshell, no. The IAG capital markets day in 2019 foresaw IAG having the following longhaulers in 2022:
- 34 A350s (split across airlines and I don't have the brains to see how they were intended to be split across OpCos)
- 39 B787s of various types
- 12 B744s, due all to go away by 2024
- 12 A380s
- 43 B77Es
- 16 B77Ws
- 8 B779s
Now, let's assume that all BA 350s are delivered, so the difference today actuals - 2019 estimate is 0.
As for the 787s, there are, right now, 12 B788, 18 789 and 4 781, with a fifth coming soon or already in, can't remember. Make it -4.
Then we've got -12 for the B744s.
All B77E and B77W are accounted for, so the difference is 0, ditto for the A380s.
The 779 are nowhere near being certified, let alone delivered, so -8.
So, -4-12-8 = -24. And this is assuming that all 350s scheduled are with us, which somehow I doubt.
Edited to add: according to Airfleets, BA has 13 A350s and IB 16 = 29. Therefore IAG as a company is 5 short; I don't know the split between BA and IB, but depending on where we have BA could be short of anything between 24 or 29 long haul aircraft.