Originally Posted by
snydert
Hard to say, but I still think premium cabin spend will be the most significant factor for CK admission. The LPs should be pretty substantial as a result. For example, I have 1.1M LPs, 75% of which have been derived from premium flying (as opposed to CC), and my YTD EQDs are $85K.
It will almost certainly be premium cabin spend, I agree. I think that CC-based LPs will count for CK at something like one cent per LP so 1M LPs will only be like 10k equivalent of EQD. You are really going to be talking about 5-6 million LPs to make it on CC spend alone. There will be a few who make that way (either through corner case millions of LP promotions or actually putting that much spend through the card), but it won't be common at all.
We may be able to conduct a little experiment here. I also have a little over 1.1M LPs and expect to have at least 1.3-1.4M LPs by the end of this qualification year. It's 75-80% CC spend. I only have around 20k EQD (just two TATL round trips). I suspect there is no way I get renewed.