Originally Posted by wanaflyforless

Yes, there are significant risks involved.

If I go for Centurion, it would be $2M on my Business Plat card (1.5X earn) and could do $2M on a second and possibly third Business Plat cards if necessary, stopping at $2M per card due to the 1.5X earning cap.

After getting Centurion, I would be tempted to go back to mostly putting 4X spend on Business Gold cards.
Maybe keep just $500K/year on the business Centurion
and
$160K/year on Business Gold cards ($150K at 4x earn) x 9 cards (have 6 so far)

The rest of the spending could go back to the BofA 2.65% and Chase 2.5% cards.

Regarding an unpublished cap on the 50% rebate (Business Centurion Airfare) I did ask Amex and the Centurion department rep I spoke with had never heard of one but that wasn't an official answer and could of course change.

I haven't seen reports of Amex shutdowns because too much spend was in bonuses categories but maybe I just missed them?
Does Amex shut people down only because our spend patterns are unprofitable for them?
Should I be afraid of a shutdown for doing the following if I go to that:
$160K/year on Business Gold cards ($150K at 4x earn) x 9 cards

All of this only holds up if that bill killing credit card bank commissions does not pass.

I still am wondering, what are the odds of being able to get a business Centurion a year or two after shifting $2M/year to my Business Plat card or $4M/year to two Business Plat cards?

Is an informed estimate of the odds even possible?