I applied and was accepted into the online renewal program.

Uploaded the completed form and picture (from my iPhone) on Friday. Paid for "Expedited" service (6-8 weeks I think instead of 12-15 or similar) but not the expedited delivery.

Had the passport book in hand by the following Thursday. The passport card came the next day.

There was a warning when uploading the picture that their AI thought I was wearing glasses (wasn't, just a shadow) so really expected a bit of a delay.